Prognosis

China Is About to Find Out Whether Its Mass Quarantine Worked

“This is more and more like flu, which is like trying to stop the wind.”

China's Social Stability Is Under Threat: Xi
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In the last two weeks, China locked down some 50 million people in more than a dozen cities to try and stop the new coronavirus that has sickened thousands in the province of Hubei.

It may take as long as 14 days for the flu-like symptoms of the virus, dubbed 2019-nCov, to appear. Soon, China will find out if the largest mass quarantine in history has worked, or if undiscovered cases have quietly dispersed and seeded a far wider epidemic.