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Energy & Science

Global Climate Tipping Points Could Arrive In a Matter of Years

A study of dozens of habitats suggests that the current stability of large parts of the planet may vanish faster than previously thought.

A sign marks a gas pipeline crossing through marshlands on the Harry Bourg Corp. preserve in Louisiana, U.S., on June 17, 2010. More than half of the 17,000 acres of marshland in the Bourg preserve have been lost to erosion and subsidence, and the rest is vanishing under a profusion of runaway canals that were dug to lay pipelines or float in equipment for the drilling of 90 oil and gas wells.Photographer: Ken Wells/
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Irreversible changes may start reshaping the world’s ecosystem as soon as the next few years—much sooner than previously thought.

A new study published Tuesday in Nature Communications examines the mechanics of these tipping points in 40 separate ecosystems, including forests, coral reefs, and marshes. Drawing on pre-existing studies and modeling, the authors suggest that the apparent stability of the world’s largest ecosystems is “a deceptive guide to the potential speed of their collapse.”