Skip to main content

Make sense of it all

Our world has too much noise and too little context. Vox helps you understand what matters. We don’t drown you in panic-inducing headlines, and we’re not obsessed with being the first to break the news. We’re focused on being helpful to you.

We rely on readers like you to fund our journalism. Will you support our work and become a Vox Member today?

Join today

Facebook says it’s running out of places in News Feed to show people ads

Don’t worry. Facebook has lots of other places it can show you ads instead.

Pokemon-Mania Takes Indonesia By Storm
Pokemon-Mania Takes Indonesia By Storm
Ulet Ifansasti/Getty Images

Facebook makes mountains of money through advertising — $6.2 billion last quarter alone, to be specific.

But as the company took analyst questions Wednesday in the wake of yet another glowing earnings report, CFO Dave Wehner said something interesting: Facebook’s ad load, or the total number of ads the company can show to each user, will be a relative non-factor for predicting Facebook’s future revenue growth starting this time next year.

Translation: Facebook is about to max out on the number of ads it can show users inside its flagship product, which means it will need to find other ways to grow the company’s ad business moving forward. Simply increasing the number of ads it shows people will not be an option.

“The optimal ad load is really a mix of art and science,” Wehner said. “We also want to be thoughtful about making sure each person’s overall feed experience has the right balance of organic and ad content.”

This was surprising to analysts, as evidenced by the fact that many of them then asked Facebook’s executives to elaborate on what this means.

So what does it mean?

It means that Facebook will need to do one of two things: 1) add more users, or 2) create better-performing ads that it can sell for more money. Ideally, it will do both.

Facebook’s user base is already growing — it added 60 million new users last quarter alone — but the “create better ads” part is tougher.

Facebook will either need to do a better job proving its ads lead to sales, which it’s already trying to do, or offer more premium ads, like the commercials you might see on TV.

This is why Facebook is pushing hard into video, especially live video, but premium video ads can be tough to sell on mobile, which is where the majority of Facebook’s ad business has gone.

This is likely why Facebook COO Sheryl Sandberg said on the earnings call that the company is looking for more short-form video content from its partners, which sounds like the kind of stuff you could pair with premium video ads. It’s also probably why Facebook hired CollegeHumor’s Ricky Van Veen last month.

The good news for Facebook is that its flagship product is not the company’s only revenue driver. Yes, it’s the key revenue driver, but Facebook has plenty of other products where it currently sells ads (Instagram) and will most likely sell ads in the future (Oculus, Messenger, WhatsApp). So it owns a lot more real estate with ad-delivery potential.

Facebook also sells ads inside other people’s apps through its ad network, Audience Network. and that seems to be working. The company announced back in Q4 that this network had a $1 billion run rate, meaning if you took the network’s current performance and kept it consistent for an entire year, it would be a $1 billion business.

So Facebook’s ad load issue may not be much of an issue at all. But it’s still worth keeping in mind.

This article originally appeared on Recode.net.

More in Technology

The Trump administration says cheap goods aren’t part of the American dream. They’re wrong.The Trump administration says cheap goods aren’t part of the American dream. They’re wrong.
Future Perfect

Everyone likes cheap consumer goods that will get more expensive under Trump’s tariffs.

By Kelsey Piper
A surprisingly useful tool for this year’s tax seasonA surprisingly useful tool for this year’s tax season
Even Better

Doing your taxes is technical and boring. It’s perfect for AI chatbots.

By Adam Clark Estes
The self-inflicted death of American science has already begunThe self-inflicted death of American science has already begun
Future Perfect

Trump’s crackdown on foreign students and scientists will do irreparable harm to the country.

By Bryan Walsh
Will AI become God? That’s the wrong question.Will AI become God? That’s the wrong question.
Podcast
The Gray Area

Tech pioneer Jaron Lanier argues for a different way to think about AI.

By Sean Illing
Why are car headlights so blindingly bright now?Why are car headlights so blindingly bright now?
Podcast
Explain It to Me

Bright headlights can make it easier for drivers to see the road. But there’s a dark side.

By Hady Mawajdeh
A skeptic’s guide to quitting your smartphoneA skeptic’s guide to quitting your smartphone
Technology

I spent a week living with the new Light Phone. It wasn’t long enough.

By Adam Clark Estes