Prognosis

Trump's Vaccine Promises Defy the Lessons of Pharmaceutical History

For a vaccine to be widely available in coming months, a long list of exceptionally difficult goals have to be met

Photographer: Andrey Rudakov/Bloomberg
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Every effort to develop a new medicine is like launching a ship across the ocean to hunt for riches. Over the years, we’ve improved the hulls and masts, the maps are better, the sailors more experienced. But even so, vessels get turned back or new lands are barren. And, sometimes, a squall takes down the boat and all her crew.

The Trump administration has set sail on one of the most ambitious vaccine development efforts in history. Operation Warp Speed is likely to deliver a Covid-19 inoculation in a fraction of the years it would usually take. If it does so, it could save the lives of hundreds of thousands of people and economies around the world.