Inflation & Prices

ECB Seen Delivering Two Half-Point Rate Hikes on Way to May Peak

  • Analysts predict deposit rate will settle at 3.25% until 2024
  • Balance sheet to shrink to €6.9 trillion in 2023, survey shows

The European Central Bank (ECB) headquarters in Frankfurt.

Photographer: Alex Kraus/Bloomberg
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Back-to-back interest-rate increases of 50 basis points are approaching from the European Central Bank, whose battle with persistent inflation will see it hike borrowing costs until May, according to a Bloomberg surveyBloomberg Terminal of economists.

Respondents expect the deposit rate to then be held at 3.25% for about a year — until a souring economy brings about a series of quarter-point cuts, kicking off in June 2024.