Trump’s Lofty Iowa Expectations Set High Bar for Big Victory

  • Aides worry inclement weather will keep caucus-goers at home
  • Trump’s sizable lead in polls could make backers complacent
Donald Trump during a campaign rally in Coralville, Iowa, on Dec. 13.Photographer: Christian Monterrosa/Bloomberg

The only problem with being the Republican presidential frontrunner in 2024 is that voters expect a blowout victory.

The outcome of Monday’s Iowa caucuses, the first fight in the quest for the GOP nomination, looks to be in little doubt. Recent polls show former President Donald Trump’s support among Iowans at 51%, dwarfing the backing of his chief rivals, Florida Governor Ron DeSantis and Nikki Haley, Trump’s onetime ambassador to the United Nations.